dave_a_mbs
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central california
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Hi Nanner - Yeah - I agree with Alan -
I don't see much of a future. If nothing else, we're entering a period in which there is interplanetray consciousness evolving. That is actually a relatively new thing, not seen since Columbus and Magellan et al. The upsurgence following the Copernican revolution in scince is likely to be revisted from the perspective of other new worlds, which should bring us all forward toward greater planetary cohesion and cooperation, since we all have to work together.
There is still a major danger of a disasterous war, as a lot of nations are going to be squeezed by the rising tides over the next few centuries, cutting into food production and living space. My guess is that we'll see China and India as major players. Unfortunately, the image of all of us in a lifeboat while some nut plays with hand grenades is close to the truth.
The predictions of Parson Malthus, that we will develop famland linearly while population grows exponentially, suggests that we will, in the next few decades, reach the planet's carrying capacity for people.
On that basis I predict a really unconfortable period. Human nature is such that our leaders tend to deny such problems because they don't know how to fix them. That means hoarding resources for the rich, and then at the last minute opening the storehouse to keep the lid on society - after which there will be a pretty abrupt shift to empty shelves. Add a little pestilence, some major food riots, a couple revolutions, the bird flu, starvation, war - might as well as some fire and brimstone and maybe a rogue asteroid too. - And then things will settle again with a new order imposed, and a heck of a lot fewer people.
These ideas aren't even especially new. And most remarkably, nobody is doing anything about the problem. Denial is still governments' basic defense against unpleasant facts.
dave
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